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Current Win Probability
Kahramanmaraşspor 30.1%
Draw 28.5%
Yeni Diyarbakırspor 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
27.9%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
26.5%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kahramanmaraşspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kahramanmaraşspor's performance.
Yeni Diyarbakırspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeni Diyarbakırspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahramanmaraşspor than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kahramanmaraşspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Diyarbakırspor than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeni Diyarbakırspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kahramanmaraşspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Aydin E. ⚽, Toklu M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Yilmaz K. ⚽, Yilmaz M. E. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Olmezer B. B. ⚽, Sayar E. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
47', 3 - 1, Turkmen M. C. ⚽, Toklu M. (A),
54', 4 - 1, Aydin E. ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, Ozbilek Y. ⚽, Sayar E. (A),
85', 5 - 2, Ilhan S. ⚽, Yilmaz K. (A),
90+5', 6 - 2, Karaca K. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Diyarbakırspor is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kahramanmaraşspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Kahramanmaraşspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.