Match Info

First League - Round 7

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Kairat 2		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	3.5
	1.96	4.19	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.34)	3.87 ↑ (3.48)	3.21 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat 2
48.8%

Draw
23.2%

Turan Turkistan
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat 2's performance.

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Turan Turkistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turan Turkistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Abish M. ⚽, Bekbolat I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Trubin A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4).

Kairat 2 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Turan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kairat 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kairat 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty 2	23	17	5	1	66:12	54	56
3	Turan	23	16	2	5	51:21	30	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
15.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kairat 2	1:3 ✺
07.05.26	Kairat 2 - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Jaiyq - Kairat 2	0:5 ✺
23.04.26	Kairat 2 - Aktobe 2	6:0 ✺
03.04.26	Kairat 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
14.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Taraz	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Astana 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Khan Tengri	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tobol 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
16.04.26	Turan Turkistan - Arys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
02.10.23	Turan Turkistan - Kairat 2	2:0
23.06.23	Kairat 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:3

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