Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Kalná nad Hronom		Nové Zámky

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.76	3.38	3.46
	1.78	3.7	3.74
	2	3.55	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.35)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	3.43 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalná nad Hronom
48.7%

Draw
25.3%

Nové Zámky
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalná nad Hronom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kalná nad Hronom's performance.

Nové Zámky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nové Zámky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalná nad Hronom than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kalná nad Hronom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nové Zámky than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nové Zámky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

Kalná nad Hronom is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nové Zámky is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kalná nad Hronom will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalná nad Hronom won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalná nad Hronom won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Kalná nad Hronom
Slovak Cup
21.09.22	Kalná nad Hronom - Spartak Myjava	0:1 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga West
18.09.22	Beluša - Kalná nad Hronom	4:0 ✺
10.09.22	Kalná nad Hronom - MŠK Fomat Martin	1:1
Slovak Cup
07.09.22	Nevidzany - Kalná nad Hronom	0:1 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga West
03.09.22	Slovan Duslo Šaľa - Kalná nad Hronom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWL
- FKM Nové Zámky
Slovak Cup
21.09.22	Nové Zámky - Šamorín	1:2 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga West
17.09.22	Nové Zámky - Vrakuňa Bratislava	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Inter Bratislava - Nové Zámky	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Nové Zámky - Dynamo Malženice	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Jednota Bánová - Nové Zámky	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 4 Liga West
19.03.22	Nové Zámky - Kalná nad Hronom	1:0
14.08.21	Kalná nad Hronom - Nové Zámky	2:0
16.08.20	Nové Zámky - Kalná nad Hronom	0:2
16.09.19	Kalná nad Hronom - Nové Zámky	4:0
10.11.18	Kalná nad Hronom - Nové Zámky	2:1

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