Match Info

Super League 2 - Round 3

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Kampaniakos		Iraklis

	1	X	2
	12.5	5.5	1.21
	16.36	4.8	1.26
	8.5	4.85	1.29
	10	5	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.84 ↑ (8.5)	5.04 ↑ (4.25)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kampaniakos
7.8%

Draw
18.3%

Iraklis
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

21.2%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

20.8%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kampaniakos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Iraklis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iraklis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kampaniakos than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Kampaniakos - Iraklis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Kushta K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kampaniakos won 0.

Kampaniakos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iraklis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kampaniakos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iraklis is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kampaniakos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kampaniakos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kampaniakos FC
Greek Super League 2
21.09.25	Niki Volos - Kampaniakos	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kampaniakos - Kavala	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.25	Kampaniakos - PAOK B	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Kampaniakos - Kalamata	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Makedonikos - Kampaniakos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- Iraklis Thessalonikis
Greek Cup
25.09.25	Iraklis - Ilioupolis	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League 2
20.09.25	Kavala - Iraklis	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Iraklis - Asteras Tripolis B	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Iraklis - Panserraikos	0:0 ✺
27.08.25	Anagennisi Karditsa - Iraklis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
12.04.25	Iraklis - Kampaniakos	3:0
09.03.25	Kampaniakos - Iraklis	0:3
01.02.25	Iraklis - Kampaniakos	5:0
18.11.24	Kampaniakos - Iraklis	3:3
14.04.24	Kampaniakos - Iraklis	0:1
19.02.24	Iraklis - Kampaniakos	2:2
19.11.23	Kampaniakos - Iraklis	1:3

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