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Current Win Probability
Kanchanaburi 54.7%
Draw 24.2%
Chainat 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57%
23.4%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
24.9%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Chainat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Kanchanaburi - Chainat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Thodsanid P. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Robson Duarte ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Thodsanid P. ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, Ahmed M. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 3 - 2, Hombunma C. ⚽,
54', 3 - 3, Ahmed M. M. ⚽,
71', 4 - 3, Supunpasuch C. ⚽,
76', 5 - 3, Jo (Penalty Awarded),
79', 6 - 3, Robson Duarte ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th and 5th in the Promotion - Thai League 2 Promotion - Playoffs).
In recent outings, Kanchanaburi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chainat is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kanchanaburi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Kanchanaburi for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Kanchanaburi has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kanchanaburi against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).