Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Franz Fekete Stadion (Kapfenberg)

Referee: Sadikovski A. (Aut)


	Kapfenberger SV		Vorwärts Steyr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.73	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.72
	3.75	4	1.72
	3.93	4.15	1.81
	3.98	4.1	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.99)	3.99 ↑ (3.48)	1.74 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
24%

Draw
23.1%

Vorwärts Steyr
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapfenberger SV's form might have worsened.

Vorwärts Steyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vorwärts Steyr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapfenberger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorwärts Steyr than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vorwärts Steyr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Kapfenberger SV - Vorwärts Steyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kapfenberg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vorwärts Steyr will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vorwärts Steyr: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kapfenberg won 2.

Kapfenberg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vorwärts Steyr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vorwärts Steyr will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kapfenberg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kapfenberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
19.08.22	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Kapfenberger SV - Lafnitz	1:5 ✺
05.08.22	Austria Wien II - Kapfenberger SV	2:2 ✺
29.07.22	Kapfenberger SV - Horn	0:1 ✺
22.07.22	Amstetten - Kapfenberger SV	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Vorwärts Steyr
Austrian 2 Liga
21.08.22	Vorwärts Steyr - Grazer AK	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Floridsdorfer AC - Vorwärts Steyr	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Vorwärts Steyr - Dornbirn	2:1 ✺
02.08.22	Liefering - Vorwärts Steyr	4:3 ✺
22.07.22	Vorwärts Steyr - Rapid Wien II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
15.04.22	Vorwärts Steyr - Kapfenberger SV	3:1
24.09.21	Kapfenberger SV - Vorwärts Steyr	1:3
05.03.21	Kapfenberger SV - Vorwärts Steyr	2:0
18.09.20	Vorwärts Steyr - Kapfenberger SV	0:3
30.11.19	Vorwärts Steyr - Kapfenberger SV	2:0
22.11.19	Kapfenberger SV - Vorwärts Steyr	2:1
02.04.19	Vorwärts Steyr - Kapfenberger SV	1:1

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