Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Kara Balta		Alga Bishkek

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.51
	5	4	1.5
	5.5	3.9	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↓ (5.2)	4 (4)	1.51 (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kara Balta
17.5%

Draw
22.6%

Alga Bishkek
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18.8%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kara Balta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alga Bishkek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kara Balta than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alga Bishkek than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alga Bishkek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kara Balta - Alga Bishkek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Kara Balta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kara Balta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alga have a series of home games.

In this match Alga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kara Balta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kara Balta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kara Balta
Kyrgyzstan Premier Liga
21.08.21	Kara Balta - Abdysh-Ata Kant	2:6 ✺
14.08.21	Kaganat - Kara Balta	1:0 ✺
09.08.21	Kara Balta - Ilbirs Bishkek	1:1 ✺
03.08.21	Kara Balta - Dordoi Bishkek	1:2 ✺
30.07.21	Alay Osh - Kara Balta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Alga Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Premier Liga
15.09.21	Dordoi Bishkek - Alga Bishkek	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Alga Bishkek - Dordoi Bishkek	1:2 ✺
12.08.21	Alga Bishkek - Abdysh-Ata Kant	2:2 ✺
09.08.21	Alga Bishkek - Alay Osh	0:1 ✺
03.08.21	Alga Bishkek - Kaganat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kyrgyzstan Premier Liga
13.05.21	Alga Bishkek - Kara Balta	3:1
22.04.21	Kara Balta - Alga Bishkek	0:0
14.10.17	Kara Balta - Alga Bishkek	1:2

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