Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Karabükspor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	13	5.8	1.11
	14	6	1.12
	14.04	5.86	1.16
	16.5	7.6	1.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.39 ↑ (5.8)	6.32 ↑ (3.78)	1.13 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karabükspor
6.2%

Draw
14.2%

Derince Belediyespor
79.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

24%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

19.9%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karabükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karabükspor's form might have worsened.

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derince Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karabükspor than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karabükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karabükspor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Karabükspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Derince Belediyespor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karabükspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Derince Belediyespor have a series of home games.

In this match Derince Belediyespor is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karabükspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
09.10.21	Fethiyespor - Karabükspor	5:0 ✺
03.10.21	Karabükspor - Karşıyaka	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Agrispor - Karabükspor	3:0 ✺
12.09.21	Çankaya - Karabükspor	4:1 ✺
05.09.21	Karabükspor - Karaköprü	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
09.10.21	Derince Belediyespor - Ofspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.09.21	Derince Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
25.09.21	Derince Belediyespor - İçel	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Erokspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Derince Belediyespor - Kırıkkale Büyük	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTT

Karabükspor - Derince Belediyespor

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Karabükspor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Preview

Form

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