Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Aksaray Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	1.98
	3.65	3.15	2.05
	3.67	3.1	2.06
	3.71	3.12	2.01	Watch
	2.9	2.88	2.3
	3.59	3.2	1.97
	3.65	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.5)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.06 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
26%

Draw
29.6%

Aksaray Belediyespor
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

30.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karacabey Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Aksaray Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aksaray Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karacabey Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aksaray Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karacabey Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Balikci A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Abdioglu Y. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Karacabey Bld is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aksaray Belediyespor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karacabey Bld could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Karacabey Bld have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Konyaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.12.24	Menemenspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Elazığspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.24	Bandırmaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:3 ET ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Vanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTTWL
- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.12.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Serik Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Somaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

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