Match Info

3. Lig Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Karadeniz Ereğli		Düzcespor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	4.65
	1.68	3.35	4.77
	1.69	3.42	4.92	Watch
	1.67	3	5
	1.65	3.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.91)	3.26 ↑ (3.17)	4.91 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karadeniz Ereğli
54%

Draw
27.6%

Düzcespor
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

29.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karadeniz Ereğli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karadeniz Ereğli's performance.

Düzcespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karadeniz Ereğli than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düzcespor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Karadeniz Ereğli - Düzcespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bayar B. ⚽, Koskor E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Orentepe K. M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Karadeniz Ereğli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Düzcespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karadeniz Ereğli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Karadeniz Ereğli is considered a favorite.

We predict that Karadeniz Ereğli will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
01.03.26	Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor - Karadeniz Ereğli	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Karadeniz Ereğli - 52 Orduspor	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Giresunspor - Karadeniz Ereğli	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Karadeniz Ereğli - Pazarspor	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Fatsa Belediyespor - Karadeniz Ereğli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLW
- Düzcespor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
01.03.26	Düzcespor - Sebat Gençlik	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Orduspor 1967 - Düzcespor	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Düzcespor - 1926 Bulancakspor	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Çayeli Spor - Düzcespor	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	Düzcespor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLL

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