The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karaiskakis 30.5%
Draw 32.5%
Apollon Larissa 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
32%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
22.2%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karaiskakis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Apollon Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karaiskakis than the current prediction. (+19.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karaiskakis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Larissa than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Apollon Larissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group)).
Karaiskakis is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Apollon Larissa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Apollon Larissa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Karaiskakis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Karaiskakis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.