Match Info

NB II. - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Karcag		Ajka

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.92	2.72
	2.42	3.05	2.75
	2.48	3.19	2.83	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.42	2.99	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.26)	2.99 ↓ (3.47)	2.75 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karcag
36.9%

Draw
30.2%

Ajka
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karcag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karcag than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Karcag - Ajka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ajka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Gergely R. (G) 21. Fabian B. 18. Kaye S. 97. Kohut M. 4. Kovalovszki M. 77. Laszlo D. 6. Osztrovka M. 14. Saghy F. 96. Sain Balasz C. 24. Szekszardi T. 92. Szucs K.	97. Szabados I. (G) 10. Cipf D. 19. Csizmadia Z. 30. Doncsecz L. 99. Garai Z. 5. Kenderes Z. 11. Kopacsi A. 14. Kovacs N. 8. Mohos B. 18. Sejben V. 34. Tar Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Tar Z. 🟨,
27', Sain Balasz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Saghy F. 🟨,
65', Sain Balasz C. ↓, Hidi P. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Csizmadia Z. ⚽,
71', Szucs K. ↓, Fekete O. ↑,
71', Fabian B. ↓, Pap Z. ↑,
75', Laszlo D. 🟨,
75', Sejben V. 🟨,
75', Pap Z. 🟨,
82', Kovalovszki M. ↓, Gyori A. Z. ↑,
82', Kaye S. ↓, Egri I. ↑,
83', Cipf D. ↓, Csoka Dom. ↑,
85', Kopacsi A. ↓, Csornyei Z. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Recent form of Karcag has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ajka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karcag won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ajka	7	4	2	1	9:6	3	14
8	Karcagi	8	2	5	1	13:11	2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Ajka - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.14%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karcagi SE
Hungarian NB II
22.03.26	Karcag - Budapest Honved	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Karcag - Budafoki	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Videoton - Karcag	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Karcag - BVSC-Zugló	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Vasas - Karcag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
22.03.26	Ajka - Békéscsaba 1912	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kecskemeti - Ajka	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ajka - Csákvári	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ajka - Szentlőrinc	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Budapest Honved - Ajka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
05.10.25	Ajka - Karcag	0:1

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