Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Kariana Erden		Tsarsko Selo Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.85
	2.91	3.95	2.14
	2.95	3.52	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.56)	3.74 ↑ (3.62)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kariana Erden
30.4%

Draw
24.7%

Tsarsko Selo Sofia
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

25.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

16.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kariana Erden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kariana Erden's form might have worsened.

Tsarsko Selo Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tsarsko Selo Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariana Erden than the current prediction. (+24.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kariana Erden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tsarsko Selo Sofia than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tsarsko Selo Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kariana Erden in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tsarsko Selo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tsarsko Selo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tsarsko Selo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kariana Erden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Kariana Erden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kariana Erden
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.09.20	Kariana Erden - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Neftochimic Burgas - Kariana Erden	0:4 ✺
12.09.20	Kariana Erden - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	4:0 ✺
29.08.20	Sportist Svoge - Kariana Erden	1:2 ✺
24.08.20	Kariana Erden - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW
- Tsarsko Selo Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.10.20	Ludogorets Razgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:1 ✺
02.10.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
28.09.20	Slavia Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0 ✺
18.09.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:2 ✺
11.09.20	Botev Plovdiv - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
24.09.19	Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	3:0

Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide