Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Karlburg		Cham

	1	X	2
	3.4	4	1.73
	1.93	3.5	3
	3.8	3.95	1.63
	3.9	4.34	1.73
	4.8	4.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.22)	3.98 ↑ (3.75)	1.93 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlburg
26.7%

Draw
24%

Cham
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlburg's form might have worsened.

Cham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlburg than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cham than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)).

Karlburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Karlburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Karlburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
14.04.22	Feucht - Karlburg	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Karlburg - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
05.04.22	ATSV Erlangen - Karlburg	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Karlburg - DJK Ammerthal	1:3 ✺
12.03.22	Karlburg - Gebenbach	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLL
- ASV Cham
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
16.04.22	Cham - Großbardorf	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Vilzing - Cham	2:3 ✺
02.04.22	Cham - Bayern Hof	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Sand - Cham	2:3 ✺
19.03.22	Cham - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 48.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
07.08.21	Cham - Karlburg	0:1

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