Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Karlshamn		Växjö Norra

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.7	1.75
	4.93	3.79	1.61	Watch
	4.12	3.7	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.32)	3.73 ↑ (3.63)	1.69 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlshamn
21.1%

Draw
24.6%

Växjö Norra
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

25.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

24.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlshamn's form might have worsened.

Växjö Norra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Växjö Norra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlshamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Växjö Norra than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Växjö Norra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karlshamn - Växjö Norra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Nensen A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Magnusson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 2, Boden H. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Karlshamn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Växjö Norra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Växjö Norra is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karlshamn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Karlshamn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Vaxjo Norra	24	9	8	7	31:33	-2	35
14	IFK Karlshamn ✔	24	4	2	18	26:60	-34	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
14.05.26	Karlshamn - Oskarshamn	1:5 ✺
10.05.26	Staffanstorp United - Karlshamn	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Karlshamn - Linero	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	IFK Trelleborg - Karlshamn	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Karlshamn - Berga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL
- Växjö Norra IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
14.05.26	Växjö Norra - Linero	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Lilla Torg - Växjö Norra	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Växjö Norra - Berga	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Växjö Norra - Karlskrona	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nosaby - Växjö Norra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
15.08.25	Karlshamn - Växjö Norra	0:0
04.04.25	Växjö Norra - Karlshamn	2:0

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