Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday


	Karlskrona		Asarum

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.7
	1.7	3.8	3.4
	1.67	3.9	3.65
	1.72	4.16	3.87
	1.73	4.33	3.5
	1.66	3.96	4.1
	1.7	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.12)	4.01 ↑ (4)	3.75 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlskrona
53.3%

Draw
22.6%

Asarum
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

22.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

22.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlskrona's performance.

Asarum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asarum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlskrona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asarum than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asarum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karlskrona - Asarum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlskrona won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Karlskrona won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlskrona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
25.09.22	Karlskrona - Högsby	5:2 ✺
17.09.22	Berga - Karlskrona	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	IFK Hässleholm - Karlskrona	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Karlskrona - AFC Malmö	2:3 ✺
28.08.22	Räppe GoIF - Karlskrona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Asarums IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
25.09.22	Kristianstad - Asarum	1:4 ✺
17.09.22	Asarum - Österlen	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Rosengård 1917 - Asarum	5:1 ✺
04.09.22	Asarum - Eslöv	1:4 ✺
27.08.22	Berga - Asarum	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
18.06.22	Asarum - Karlskrona	0:3
24.09.21	Karlskrona - Asarum	4:0
28.06.21	Asarum - Karlskrona	1:0
Swedish Division 2 - Östra Götaland
28.06.19	Karlskrona - Asarum	2:0
13.04.19	Asarum - Karlskrona	0:0
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
27.08.16	Asarum - Karlskrona	0:1
08.05.16	Karlskrona - Asarum	3:1

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