Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - SÖDRA GÖTALAND - ROUND 19

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Karlskrona		IFK Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.95	4.35
	1.4	4.65	5.57
	1.38	4	6.5
	1.41	4.9	5.8
	1.42	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.7)	4.4 ↑ (3.6)	5.64 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlskrona
63.4%

Draw
20.6%

IFK Malmö
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlskrona's performance.

IFK Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IFK Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlskrona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Karlskrona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

IFK Malmö is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karlskrona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Karlskrona is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karlskrona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlskrona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
27.08.23	Österlen - Karlskrona	0:5 ✺
19.08.23	Karlskrona - Nosaby	6:0 ✺
11.08.23	IFK Hässleholm - Karlskrona	3:2 ✺
04.08.23	VMA - Karlskrona	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Karlskrona - Rosengård 1917	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTL
- IFK Malmö
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
26.08.23	IFK Malmö - Simrishamn	2:4 ✺
21.08.23	Kristianstad - IFK Malmö	3:3 ✺
13.08.23	IFK Malmö - Hässleholm	0:4 ✺
05.08.23	IFK Malmö - IFK Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
29.07.23	Balkan - IFK Malmö	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
07.05.23	IFK Malmö - Karlskrona	1:2
07.08.16	Karlskrona - IFK Malmö	2:2
23.04.16	IFK Malmö - Karlskrona	0:6

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