Match Info

Date: 4 August 2021, Wednesday


	Karlslund		Motala

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	2.5
	2.14	4	2.43
	2.21	4.6	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.22	3.82	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (3.07)	4 ↑ (3.84)	2.55 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlslund
41.5%

Draw
22.8%

Motala
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

24.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

18.6%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlslund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlslund's performance.

Motala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlslund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motala than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karlslund - Motala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Motala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Karlslunds have a series of home games.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Karlslunds won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlslunds IF HFK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
31.07.21	Karlslund - Värmbols	2:1
11.07.21	Karlslund - Nyköping	0:3 ✺
07.07.21	Karlslund - Smedby	0:2
03.07.21	Trosa Vagnhärad - Karlslund	3:1
27.06.21	Karlslund - Mjölby AI FF	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLW
- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
11.07.21	Motala - Mjölby AI FF	2:3 ✺
03.07.21	Motala - Eskilstuna City	2:3 ✺
28.06.21	Rynninge - Motala	1:3 ✺
19.06.21	Motala - Rynninge	5:1 ✺
13.06.21	Arameiska-Syrianska Botkyrka - Motala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
09.06.21	Motala - Karlslund	2:2
19.06.16	Motala - Karlslund	3:4

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