Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 22

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Karlstad II		Stenungsunds

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.6	2.2
	2.6	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad II
33.5%

Draw
25.1%

Stenungsunds
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

25.2%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stenungsunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenungsunds than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 8th).

Recent results have been tough for Karlstad II (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Stenungsund have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Karlstad II has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karlstad II against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Stenungsunds	24	9	6	9	42:33	9	33
13	Karlstad II ✔	24	2	7	15	24:47	-23	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad II
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
12.09.26	Karlstad II - Skara	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Herrestads - Karlstad II	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Karlstad II - Vänersborgs FK	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Motala - Karlstad II	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Karlstad II - Lidkoping	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTT
- Stenungsunds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
11.09.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs FK	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Motala - Stenungsunds	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Stenungsunds - Herrestads	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Grebbestad - Stenungsunds	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Stenungsunds - Kumla	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
03.05.26	Stenungsunds - Karlstad II	2:0
13.11.21	Stenungsunds - Karlstad II	2:3
05.09.21	Karlstad II - Stenungsunds	3:2

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