Match Info
Super League - Round 8Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday
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Karonga United |
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Moyale Barracks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.95 |
2.95 |
3.60 |
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1.98 |
2.92 |
3.75 |
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2 |
3 |
3.59 |
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2.01 |
3.07 |
3.69 |
 Watch |
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1.98 |
2.95 |
3.55 |
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2.04 |
3.06 |
3.78 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.16) |
2.99 ↑
(2.94) |
3.66 ↑
(3.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Karonga United
45.2% | Draw
30.1% | Moyale Barracks
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karonga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Moyale Barracks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karonga United than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyale Barracks than the current prediction. (+2%)Karonga United - Moyale Barracks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karonga United won 2.Karonga United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Moyale Barracks is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). Karonga United will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karonga United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Karonga United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 21 |
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| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 14 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malawi Premier Division | | | 24.08.25 | Karonga United - Moyale Barracks | 3:1 | | 03.08.25 | Moyale Barracks - Karonga United | 0:1 | | 24.08.24 | Moyale Barracks - Karonga United | 1:0 | | 15.04.23 | Moyale Barracks - Karonga United | 1:1 | | 09.05.21 | Moyale Barracks - Karonga United | 2:0 | | 16.11.19 | Moyale Barracks - Karonga United | 0:1 | | 28.07.19 | Karonga United - Moyale Barracks | 1:1 |
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