Match Info

U19 League - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Karviná U19		Pardubice U19

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.5	2.28
	2.04	3.8	2.9
	2.54	3.64	2.27
	2.54	3.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.6)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	2.43 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná U19
37.5%

Draw
25%

Pardubice U19
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.2%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Pardubice U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná U19 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice U19 than the current prediction. (+3%)

Karviná U19 - Pardubice U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Nedved P. ⚽,
5', 0 - 2, Urban T. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Skokan F. (Own goal),
45', 1 - 3, Nedved P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 4, Beranek M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná U19 won 2.

Karviná U19 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pardubice U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pardubice U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Karviná U19 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná U19 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná U19
Czech U19 League
11.10.25	Slovan Liberec U19 - Karviná U19	5:3 ✺
03.10.25	Karviná U19 - Zbrojovka Brno U19	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Slavia Prague U19 - Karviná U19	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Karviná U19 - Dukla Prague U19	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Hradec Králové U19 - Karviná U19	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- FK Pardubice U19
Czech U19 League
03.10.25	Vysočina Jihlava U19 - Pardubice U19	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Dynamo České Budějovice U19 - Pardubice U19	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Pardubice U19 - Slovácko U19	1:1 ✺
10.09.25	Slovan Liberec U19 - Pardubice U19	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pardubice U19 - Sparta Prague U19	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Czech U19 League
27.04.24	Karviná U19 - Pardubice U19	2:3
30.09.23	Pardubice U19 - Karviná U19	3:0
22.04.23	Pardubice U19 - Karviná U19	2:0
30.08.22	Karviná U19 - Pardubice U19	3:0
30.04.22	Karviná U19 - Pardubice U19	1:0
18.09.21	Pardubice U19 - Karviná U19	4:1
28.09.19	Pardubice U19 - Karviná U19	1:0

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