Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium (Izmir)


	Karşıyaka		Ayvalıkgücü

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.45
	1.87	3.25	4.2
	1.95	3.21	3.79	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4
	1.91	3.1	4.24
	2.04	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.04)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)	3.96 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karşıyaka
47.9%

Draw
29.1%

Ayvalıkgücü
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.5%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karşıyaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karşıyaka's performance.

Ayvalıkgücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karşıyaka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayvalıkgücü than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Karşıyaka - Ayvalıkgücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Akyuz A. B. ⚽,
70', 0 - 2, Taser Y. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

Karşıyaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ayvalıkgücü has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karşıyaka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karşıyaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Karşıyaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karşıyaka SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
24.04.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Karşıyaka	0:0 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
12.04.26	Karşıyaka - Söke 1970	5:0 ✺
05.04.26	Bornova - Karşıyaka	0:5 ✺
29.03.26	Karşıyaka - Eskişehirspor	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Karşıyaka	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWTW
- Ayvalıkgücü
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
24.04.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Karşıyaka	0:0 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
12.04.26	Eskişehir Anadolu - Ayvalıkgücü	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Alanya 1221	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Balikesirspor - Ayvalıkgücü	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Kutahyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
24.04.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Karşıyaka	0:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
14.03.26	Karşıyaka - Ayvalıkgücü	2:0
09.11.25	Ayvalıkgücü - Karşıyaka	0:0

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