Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	Sifir


	Karşıyaka		Denizli İY Güreller

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.05	6.3
	1.43	4.18	5.89
	1.01	12.88	25.00	Watch
	1.47	3.64	6.8
	1.5	3.75	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	5.7 ↑ (4)	9.93 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karşıyaka
72.7%

Draw
17.4%

Denizli İY Güreller
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

22.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karşıyaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karşıyaka's performance.

Denizli İY Güreller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karşıyaka than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karşıyaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizli İY Güreller than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Karşıyaka - Denizli İY Güreller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Hamza K. ⚽, Yesilyurt A. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Inan O. ⚽, Hamza K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Karşıyaka is the clear favorite.

We predict that Karşıyaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karşıyaka SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
09.11.25	Ayvalıkgücü - Karşıyaka	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Karşıyaka - Uşak Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Altay - Karşıyaka	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Karşıyaka - Nazillispor	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Izmir Çoruhlu - Karşıyaka	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWW
- Denizli İY Güreller
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
08.11.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Tire 2021	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Söke 1970 - Denizli İY Güreller	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Bornova	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Eskişehirspor - Denizli İY Güreller	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Afjet Afyonspor - Denizli İY Güreller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWTW

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