Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Karşıyaka		Kutahyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.58
	2.56	3.07	2.7	Watch
	2.2	3	2.88
	2.11	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.74)	3.14 ↑ (3.11)	2.87 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karşıyaka
39.5%

Draw
28.9%

Kutahyaspor
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karşıyaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karşıyaka's performance.

Kutahyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kutahyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karşıyaka than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karşıyaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kutahyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kutahyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karşıyaka - Kutahyaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, Cengiz S. ⚽, Cift A. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Karşıyaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kutahyaspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karşıyaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Karşıyaka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kutahyaspor ✔	29	24	3	2	69:17	52	75
3	Karsiyaka ✔	29	20	6	3	63:18	45	66

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karşıyaka SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
11.01.26	Afjet Afyonspor - Karşıyaka	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Karşıyaka - Tire 2021	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Söke 1970 - Karşıyaka	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Karşıyaka - Bornova	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Eskişehirspor - Karşıyaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWL
- Kutahyaspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
10.01.26	Kutahyaspor - Tire 2021	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Kutahyaspor - Söke 1970	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Bornova - Kutahyaspor	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Kutahyaspor - Eskişehirspor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Kutahyaspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
20.04.25	Kutahyaspor - Karşıyaka	3:2
08.12.24	Karşıyaka - Kutahyaspor	1:1
16.05.23	Karşıyaka - Kutahyaspor	3:1
11.12.22	Kutahyaspor - Karşıyaka	1:1

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