The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kastamonuspor 32.4%
Draw 28.5%
Tarsus Idman Yurdu 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
29.4%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
21.2%
55.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Tarsus Idman Yurdu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kastamonuspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarsus Idman Yurdu than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarsus Idman Yurdu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).
Kastamonuspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Tarsus Idman Yurdu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kastamonuspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Kastamonuspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.