Match Info

NPFL - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Muhammadu Dikko Stadium (Katsina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Katsina United		Bendel Insurance

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	4.95
	2	2.9	4.02
	1.77	3.05	5.18	Watch
	1.95	2.7	4.2
	1.93	2.91	4.55
	1.84	2.83	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)	2.92 ↑ (2.86)	4.53 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katsina United
48.8%

Draw
31.2%

Bendel Insurance
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

32.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

34.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katsina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Bendel Insurance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katsina United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Katsina United - Bendel Insurance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abdullahi Z. (G) 15. Adikwu M. 29. Agara D. 12. Arigu I. 27. Auwal S. 4. Barau U. (C) 24. Ibrahim N. 2. Jinadu K. 18. Mubarak S. 22. Ogwuche P. 39. Yusuf J.	12. Baba J. (G) 5. Akpan E. 18. Anthony N. 14. Chigozie D. 25. Dung E. 15. Enabulele E. 26. Itoro P. 11. Nwosu C. 21. Oke Solomon K. 3. Onyia H. 28. Yazid A.
Substitutes
9. Collins U. 32. Dali A. 6. Ezinwa C. 8. Falolu A. 13. Hamisu S. (G) 34. Sanusi Chana S. 28. Yusuf S.	35. Amaefule C. 24. Anyanwu P. 8. Arunta E. 1. Cletus A. (G) 29. John J. 23. Okorom S. 10. Osayande A. 40. Torisheju V. 22. Uyiosa O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Arunta E. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bendel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Katsina United is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Katsina United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Katsina United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katsina United
Nigerian Premier League
30.11.25	Bayelsa United - Katsina United	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Katsina United - Enyimba	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Katsina United	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Katsina United - Barau	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Shooting Stars - Katsina United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLTT
- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
29.11.25	Bendel Insurance - Wikki Tourists	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Abia Warriors - Bendel Insurance	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bendel Insurance - Kano Pillars	3:2 ✺
10.11.25	Plateau United - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
06.11.25	Bendel Insurance - Rivers United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
03.02.25	Bendel Insurance - Katsina United	1:0
15.09.24	Katsina United - Bendel Insurance	2:1
12.05.19	Bendel Insurance - Katsina United	2:1
07.02.19	Katsina United - Bendel Insurance	2:1

Katsina United - Bendel Insurance: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide