Match Info

Pro Liga - Round 21

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Kattaqurgon		Metallurg Bekabad

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.51	3.5	1.96
	3.36	3.51	1.96	Watch
	3.57	3.68	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.25)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	1.94 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kattaqurgon
26.6%

Draw
26.2%

Metallurg Bekabad
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kattaqurgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kattaqurgon's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Bekabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Bekabad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kattaqurgon than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kattaqurgon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Bekabad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kattaqurgon - Metallurg Bekabad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Super League (Relegation: )).

Kattaqurgon is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Metallurg Bekabad is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Metallurg Bekabad holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kattaqurgon has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Metallurg Bekabad	24	14	6	4	53:19	34	48
5	Kattaqurgon	24	13	4	7	35:24	11	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kattaqurgon
Uzbek Pro Liga
13.09.26	BuxDU - Kattaqurgon	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Kattaqurgon - Respublika FA	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Orol Nukus - Kattaqurgon	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Kattaqurgon - Gazalkent	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Shurtan Guzar - Kattaqurgon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL
- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek Pro Liga
20.09.26	Metallurg Bekabad - Jayxun	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Metallurg Bekabad - Pakhtakor II	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Olimpik-Mobiuz - Metallurg Bekabad	2:3 ✺
27.08.26	BuxDU - Metallurg Bekabad	0:4 ✺
15.08.26	Respublika FA - Metallurg Bekabad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Pro Liga
31.05.26	Metallurg Bekabad - Kattaqurgon	1:1

Kattaqurgon - Metallurg Bekabad