Match Info

PFL - Championship Group

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Rizal Memorial Stadium (Manila)


	Kaya		Aguilas-UMak

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.46	3.99	5.61
	1.43	4.08	6.43	Watch
	1.52	4.3	5.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.28)	4.14 ↓ (4.85)	5.7 ↓ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaya
62.1%

Draw
21.9%

Aguilas-UMak
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaya's form might have worsened.

Aguilas-UMak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aguilas-UMak's recent form is better than expected.

Kaya - Aguilas UMak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaya won 2.

Aguilas-UMak's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kaya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kaya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaya won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kaya	3	3	0	0	11:1	10	9
4	Davao Aguilas	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaya FC
Philippines PFL
19.04.26	Mendiola - Kaya	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Philippine Army - Kaya	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Cebu FC - Kaya	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Kaya - Stallion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWTT
- Aguilas-UMak FC
Philippines PFL
18.04.26	Aguilas-UMak - One Taguig	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Maharlika Manila - Aguilas-UMak	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cebu FC - Aguilas-UMak	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Manila Digger - Aguilas-UMak	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Philippines PFL
12.04.26	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	2:1
13.09.25	Kaya - Aguilas-UMak	1:0
16.02.25	Kaya - Aguilas-UMak	0:1
06.10.24	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	1:1
07.07.24	Kaya - Aguilas-UMak	1:0
Philippines Copa Paulino Alcantara
09.12.23	Kaya - Aguilas-UMak	2:1 penalties
Philippines PFL
23.06.18	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	3:4

Kaya - Aguilas-UMak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide