Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 3

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Rizal Memorial Stadium (Manila)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3, SportKlub 4
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Triller TV+


	Kaya		Eastern AA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	2.95	3.6	2.15
	2.98	3.55	2.2
	2.95	3.56	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.05
	2.91	3.72	2.13	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.83)	3.59 ↓ (3.92)	2.12 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaya
31.3%

Draw
25.6%

Eastern AA
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

23.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaya than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Kaya - Eastern AA Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kaya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Eastern AA will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastern AA: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Deyto P. (G) 15. Casambre M. 3. Saito A. 23. Rota S. 44. Menzi A. (C) 13. Melliza J. 20. Park Y. 88. Yamazaki K. 10. Horikoshi D. 14. Komaki S. 7. Bedic J.	1. Yapp H. (G) 2. Hall C. 3. Kozubayev T. 21. Almazan D. 30. Wong Tsz-Ho 16. Leung C. (C) 17. Ng Y. H. 23. Ma H. W. 27. Gondra M. K. 14. Yu J. 7. Baffoe N.
Substitutes
8. Angeles M. 26. Bandiougou K. 24. Basindanan S. 1. Birrou W. (G) 30. del Rosario L. 12. Diano M. 25. Esso E. 17. Lopez R. 77. Rey G. 33. Romero J.	88. Cheung M. H. 44. Gurung P. 19. Jojo A. C. 32. Lam H. 77. Lee C. 22. Leung Kwun-Chung 26. Liu F. (G) 72. Narh S. 10. Sa F. 28. Siu C. 11. Wong H. A. 42. Yeung T.
Coaches
Hoshide Y.	Losada

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Almazan D. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
41', Melliza J. 🟨,
45+2', Wong Tsz-Ho 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Yamazaki K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamazaki K. ↓, Esso E. ↑,
46', Ng Y. H. ↓, Narh S. ↑,
63', Ma H. W. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
63', Hall C. ↓, Jojo A. C. ↑,
65', Park Y. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
65', Bedic J. ↓, Angeles M. ↑,
75', Gondra M. K. ↓, Leung Kwun-Chung ↑,
78', Melliza J. ↓, Rey G. ↑,
78', Rota S. ↓, Diano M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Baffoe N. ⚽, Sa F. (A),
90', Baffoe N. ↓, Wong H. A. ↑,
90+6', Menzi A. 🟨,

Preview

Kaya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eastern AA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaya FC
Philippines PFL
19.10.24	Kaya - Maharlika Manila	4:1 ✺
06.10.24	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Kaya - Sydney	1:4 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
26.09.24	Buriram United - Kaya	7:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kaya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WTLLL
- Eastern AA
Hong Kong Premier League
19.10.24	Eastern AA - Hong Kong FC	4:0 ✺
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
13.10.24	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
06.10.24	Lee Man - Eastern AA	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Eastern AA - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
28.09.24	Southern District - Eastern AA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW

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