Match Info
Primus League - Round 22Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Kayanza United |
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Le Messager de Ngozi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.16 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 (2.16) |
3.6 (3.6) |
2.8 (2.8) |
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- The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kayanza United 42.2% | Draw 25.3% | Le Messager de Ngozi 32.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Kayanza United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Le Messager de Ngozi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayanza United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Messager de Ngozi than the current prediction. (+0.1%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).Kayanza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Le Messager de Ngozi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Kayanza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kayanza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Kayanza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Kayanza | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
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| 13 | Le Messager Ngozi | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Burundi Premier League | | | 23.09.23 | Le Messager de Ngozi - Kayanza United | 1:0 | | 20.11.19 | Kayanza United - Le Messager de Ngozi | 2:0 |
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