Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Astana Arena (Astana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belgium	16:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	Sport 2
Denmark	16:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 2
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	21:00	MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	17:30	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	Qazsport
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	08:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	16:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	Sky Sport 3
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	16:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	09:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Poland	16:00	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV2
Romania	17:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	Exxen
Ukraine	17:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	15:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, Inter


	Kazakhstan		Wales

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.5	1.6
	6.5	3.7	1.55
	6.9	3.7	1.58	Watch
	6.51	3.9	1.61
	6.45	3.52	1.60	Watch
	6	3.8	1.53
	6.5	4.1	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↓ (6.67)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kazakhstan
14.7%

Draw
25.4%

Wales
60%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.2%

24.3%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kazakhstan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Kazakhstan - Wales Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Wales (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wales will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wales will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Anarbekov T. (G) Kairat Almaty 6. Kasym A. Aktobe 2. Maliy S. Ordabasy 3. Alip N. (C) Zenit St Petersburg 5. Kairov B. Aktobe 8. Orazov R. Yelimay Semey 21. Kasabulat D. Kairat Almaty 11. Vorogovskiy Y. FC Astana 19. Satpaev D. Kairat Almaty 17. Kenzhebek G. Yelimay Semey 10. Samorodov M. Akhmat Grozny	1. Darlow K. (G) Leeds 2. Mepham C. West Brom 4. Davies B. (C) Tottenham 6. Lawlor D. Cardiff 19. Thomas S. Stoke City 10. Cullen L. Swansea 22. Sheehan J. Bolton 8. Wilson H. Fulham 3. Williams N. Nottingham 11. Johnson B. Tottenham 13. Moore K. Wrexham
Substitutes
22. Astanov S. Ordabasy 9. Chesnokov I. Tobol 13. Karaman D. Zhenis 16. Khalmatov M. Ordabasy 7. Muzhikov S. Okzhetpes 23. Omirtaev O. Aktobe 12. Seysen M. (G) FC Astana 1. Shayzada B. (G) Ordabasy 18. Sviridov I. Yelimay Semey 14. Zhagorov N. Tobol 4. Zhaksybaev U. Ordabasy 20. Zhumat D. Okzhetpes	7. Brooks D. Bournemouth 5. Cabango B. Swansea 23. Colwill J. Cardiff 16. Crew C. Doncaster 21. Davies A. (G) Sheffield Utd 18. Harris M. Oxford Utd 20. James D. Leeds 17. James J. Leicester 12. King T. (G) Everton 9. Koumas L. Birmingham 15. Kpakio R. Cardiff 14. Norrington-Davies R. QPR
Coaches
Aliyev A.	Bellamy C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Moore K. ⚽, Cullen L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Johnson B. ↓, James D. ↑,
64', Moore K. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
65', Kenzhebek G. ↓, Chesnokov I. ↑,
77', Thomas S. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
77', Cullen L. ↓, James J. ↑,
80', Maliy S. 🟨,
81', Alip N. ↓, Zhaksybaev U. ↑,
86', Mepham C. ↓, Cabango B. ↑,
86', Samorodov M. ↓, Zhumat D. ↑,
86', Orazov R. ↓, Muzhikov S. ↑,
87', Satpaev D. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
90+2', Williams N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Wales is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kazakhstan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kazakhstan
FIFA World Cup
09.06.25	Kazakhstan - North Macedonia	0:1 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Belarus - Kazakhstan	4:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Liechtenstein - Kazakhstan	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Wales - Kazakhstan	3:1 ✺
Friendly
19.03.25	Kazakhstan - Curaçao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Wales
FIFA World Cup
09.06.25	Belgium - Wales	4:3 ✺
06.06.25	Wales - Liechtenstein	3:0 ✺
25.03.25	North Macedonia - Wales	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Wales - Kazakhstan	3:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
19.11.24	Wales - Iceland	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
22.03.25	Wales - Kazakhstan	3:1

Kazakhstan - Wales