Match Info

OTP Bank Liga - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Széktói Stadion (Kecskemét)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Kecskemeti		Puskás Academy

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.5	1.36
	5.5	4.5	1.46
	7.6	5.4	1.31
	7.08	5.2	1.36
	8.49	5.5	1.31	Watch
	6	4.33	1.44
	7.55	5.79	1.31
	7.6	5.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.04 ↑ (3.2)	5.2 ↑ (3.61)	1.36 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kecskemeti
13.3%

Draw
17.9%

Puskás Academy
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

25.7%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kecskemeti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kecskemeti's form might have worsened.

Puskás Academy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puskás Academy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kecskemeti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puskás Academy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	5.1%	92.3%

Kecskemeti - Puskás Academy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Puskas Academy (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Puskás Academy will win (36 of 39 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.95% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Puskás Academy will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Kecskemeti (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Puskas Academy (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Varga B. (G) 15. Szabo A. 18. Belenyesi C. (C) 6. Katona L. 9. Majer M. 10. Nagy K. 4. Bocskay B. 27. Zsoter D. 77. Zeke M. 7. Palinkas G. 90. Vattay M.	91. Pecsi A. (G) 23. Maceiras Q. 14. Golla W. 17. Stronati P. 66. Markgraf A. 16. Nissila U. 6. Duarte L. 20. Soisalo M. 10. Levi J. 25. Nagy Z. (C) 9. Colley L.
Substitutes
22. Camaj D. 55. Katona B. 46. Kersak R. (G) 11. Kovacs B. 32. Lopez M. 23. Meskhi M. 29. Montiel C. 1. Palfi K. (G) 12. Paszka L. 74. Polyak K. I. 16. Vago L.	7. Fameyeh J. 21. Harutyunyan G. 99. Kerezsi Z. 24. Markek T. (G) 77. Mondovics K. 96. Orjan R. 15. Plsek J. 88. Vekony B.
Coaches
Gera Z.	Hornyak Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Bocskay B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Colley L. 🟨,
61', Colley L. ↓, Fameyeh J. ↑,
63', Zsoter D. ↓, Paszka L. ↑,
64', Vattay M. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
66', Nissila U. 🟨,
71', Nissila U. ↓, Plsek J. ↑,
71', Nagy K. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
79', Soisalo M. ↓, Vekony B. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Plsek J. ⚽,
88', Zeke M. ↓, Montiel C. ↑,

Preview

Kecskemeti is Relegated to Merkantil Bank Liga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kecskemeti won 1.

Kecskemeti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Puskas Academy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Puskas Academy is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kecskemeti won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kecskemeti won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kecskemeti TE
Hungarian NB I
10.05.25	MTK Budapest - Kecskemeti	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Kecskemeti - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Kecskemeti	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	Kecskemeti - Ujpest	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTTL
- Puskás Academy
Hungarian NB I
10.05.25	Puskás Academy - Debreceni	4:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Puskás Academy - Videoton	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Paksi SE - Puskás Academy	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Győri ETO - Puskás Academy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
22.02.25	Puskás Academy - Kecskemeti	4:2
20.10.24	Kecskemeti - Puskás Academy	0:3
07.04.24	Kecskemeti - Puskás Academy	1:2
08.12.23	Puskás Academy - Kecskemeti	3:0
26.08.23	Kecskemeti - Puskás Academy	4:1
08.04.23	Puskás Academy - Kecskemeti	0:3
08.11.22	Kecskemeti - Puskás Academy	1:1

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