Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 19

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Keilor Park		Melbourne City U20

	1	X	2
	1.20	6.25	9.25
	1.28	5.40	6.75
	1.20	6.38	9.56
	1.25	5.99	8.46
	1.16	5.90	8.50
	1.20	6.95	9.62
	1.19	6.60	9.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.47)	6.21 ↑ (4.35)	8.85 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keilor Park
75.1%

Draw
14.6%

Melbourne City U20
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

19.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keilor Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keilor Park's performance.

Melbourne City U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Park than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keilor Park that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City U20 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keilor Park - Melbourne City U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Keilor Park has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melbourne City U20 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Melbourne City U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Keilor Park is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keilor Park Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
27.06.26	Keilor Park - Melbourne Victory U20	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Avondale - Keilor Park	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Keilor Park - Bulleen Lions	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Alamein - Keilor Park	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Keilor Park - Spring Hills	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WLWLW
- Melbourne City U20 Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
27.06.26	Melbourne City U20 - Avondale	1:6 ✺
20.06.26	Bulleen Lions - Melbourne City U20	5:0 ✺
06.06.26	Alamein - Melbourne City U20	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Spring Hills - Melbourne City U20	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Boroondara Eagles - Melbourne City U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL

Keilor Park - Melbourne City U20

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Keilor Park - Melbourne City U20 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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