The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Keith 33.9%
Draw 25.1%
Turriff United 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
24.2%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
23%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keith's form might have worsened.
Turriff United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turriff United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keith than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turriff United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Turriff United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Keith - Turriff United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Duncan H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keith won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Turriff may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Keith has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Keith against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).