Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Kentavros Vrilission		Apollon Kalythion

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.22)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	3.8 ↑ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kentavros Vrilission
50.7%

Draw
25.3%

Apollon Kalythion
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kentavros Vrilission has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kentavros Vrilission's performance.

Apollon Kalythion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apollon Kalythion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kentavros Vrilission than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kentavros Vrilission that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Kalythion than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Kalythion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Losers stage: )).

Kentavros is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Apollon Kalythion has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Apollon Kalythion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kentavros is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kentavros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kentavros Vrilission
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
14.02.26	Nea Artaki - Kentavros Vrilission	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Kentavros Vrilission - Afantou	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Kentavros Vrilission - Nea Ionia	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Asteras Kaisarianis - Kentavros Vrilission	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Kentavros Vrilission - Doxa Vyronas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 TWWLW
- Apollon Kalythion
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
14.02.26	Apollon Kalythion - Aris Petroupolis	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Amarynthiakos - Apollon Kalythion	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Apollon Kalythion - Diagoras	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Doxa Vyronas - Apollon Kalythion	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nea Artaki - Apollon Kalythion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
23.11.25	Apollon Kalythion - Kentavros Vrilission	3:2

Kentavros Vrilission - Apollon Kalythion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide