Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 20

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Kežmarok		Spišské Podhradie

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.85	6.5
	1.31	4.88	6.2
	1.36	5.02	6.41	Watch
	1.34	5.05	6.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)	4.95 ↑ (4.93)	6.37 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kežmarok
67.6%

Draw
18.2%

Spišské Podhradie
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

18.2%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

13.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kežmarok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Spišské Podhradie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kežmarok than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kežmarok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spišské Podhradie than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Kežmarok - Spišské Podhradie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (5 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

In recent matches, Kežmarok has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spišské Podhradie is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kežmarok is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kežmarok won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kežmarok won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Kezmarok	9	0	1	8	4:23	-19	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. MFK Kežmarok
Slovak 3 Liga East
11.04.26	Lokomotíva Košice - Kežmarok	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Kežmarok - Odeva Lipany	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Poprad - Kežmarok	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Kežmarok - Tesla Stropkov	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Kežmarok	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 LLLWW
- MŠK Spišské Podhradie
Slovak 3 Liga East
12.04.26	Spišské Podhradie - Spartak Medzev	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Košice B - Spišské Podhradie	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Spišské Podhradie - Raslavice	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Spišské Podhradie - Lokomotíva Košice	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Odeva Lipany - Spišské Podhradie	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga East
21.09.25	Spišské Podhradie - Kežmarok	2:2
Slovak Cup
14.09.22	Kežmarok - Spišské Podhradie	2:0

Kežmarok - Spišské Podhradie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide