Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Khalij Fars Mahshahr		Van Pars Naghshe Jahan

	1	X	2
	5.25	2.87	1.71
	5.6	3.15	1.58
	6.31	3.11	1.6
	6.3	2.99	1.65
	5.8	3.25	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (3.15)	3.07 ↑ (2.57)	1.63 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
15.4%

Draw
29.3%

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
55.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

34.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

32.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khalij Fars Mahshahr's form might have worsened.

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Van Pars Naghshe Jahan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khalij Fars Mahshahr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Van Pars Naghshe Jahan than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Van Pars Naghshe Jahan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Khalij Fars Mahshahr will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Van Pars will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Pars: 35.2% – 84.8%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Van Pars is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Van Pars could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Pars will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
25.10.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
11.10.22	Darya Babol - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0 ✺
06.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:2 ✺
28.09.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0 ✺
20.09.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Shahrdari Astara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
Iran Division 1
25.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:3 ✺
18.10.22	Chadormalou Ardakan - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	SaiPa - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:0 ✺
06.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
28.09.22	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL

Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan Predictions

Preview

Form

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