Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Khan Tengri (Almaty)


	Khan Tengri		AKAS

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.4	2.38
	2.42	3.35	2.29
	2.46	3.64	2.46	Watch
	2.53	3.28	2.44
	2.62	3.08	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.62)	3.35 ↑ (3.08)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khan Tengri
35.8%

Draw
26.8%

AKAS
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

AKAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKAS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Nurmukhametov R. (G) 20. Bekeshov M. 30. Gabiden A. 11. Kushkumbayev D. 9. Medelkhan D. 18. Mukhametali K. 7. Rakhimzhanov A. (C) 5. Slyamkhan A. 8. Tuleu D. 19. Umirzak D. 2. Zakharchenko B.	1. Grubov O. (G) 2. Amirzhanov A. 14. Aydarbekuly A. 4. Bulgakbaev A. 17. Eleusov M. 22. Nurdaliev A. 7. Sautov A. 21. Suyunov D. (C) 28. Vasilchenko D. 91. Yakudi K. 99. Zinadin A.
Substitutes
23. Asanbek T. 3. Bekmyrza A. 1. Erniyazov S. (G) 22. Kusainov A. 12. Niltashev A. 28. Oger A. 10. Seitov A. 24. Strizhkov N. 26. Suyindik S. 16. Temershi E. 17. Usoyan V.	88. Azatov A. 11. Gridin S. 80. Izbasarov N. 33. Kalymbetov A. 5. Kanat R. 16. Karavaev I. (G) 10. Kriventsev P. 25. Makhmudov A. (G) 77. Mukhituly K. 9. Primberdiev S. 32. Turginbaev A. 23. Zhmudov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Suyunov D. 🟨,
26', Kushkumbayev D. 🟨,
29', Medelkhan D. 🟨,
37', Tuleu D. 🟨,
38', Vasilchenko D. ↓, Kriventsev P. ↑,
41', Gabiden A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yakudi K. ↓, Gridin S. ↑,
46', Zinadin A. ↓, Primberdiev S. ↑,
46', Gabiden A. ↓, Seitov A. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Sautov A. ⚽,
53', Aydarbekuly A. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Gridin S. ⚽,
65', Umirzak D. ↓, Kusainov A. ↑,
65', Tuleu D. ↓, Strizhkov N. ↑,
72', Aydarbekuly A. ↓, Azatov A. ↑,
77', Sautov A. ↓, Zhmudov R. ↑,
77', Bekeshov M. ↓, Bekmyrza A. ↑,
78', Amirzhanov A. 🟨,
85', Rakhimzhanov A. ↓, Usoyan V. ↑,
90+2', Primberdiev S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Khan Tengri is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AKAS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khan Tengri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Khan Tengri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
25.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	3:0 ✺
18.07.25	Khan Tengri - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
10.07.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Khan Tengri - Ertis Pavlodar	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Khan Tengri - Turkistan	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- AKAS FC
Kazakh First League
25.07.25	AKAS - SD Family	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Turkistan - AKAS	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	AKAS - Taraz	3:1 ✺
03.07.25	Akademiya Ontustik - AKAS	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Altai Semey - AKAS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
15.03.24	Khan Tengri - AKAS	1:2

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