Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Khenchela		MC Alger

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.82	2.25
	2.80	2.80	2.75	Watch
	3.52	2.84	2.25	Watch
	3.25	2.74	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	2.8 (2.8)	2.42 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khenchela
28.7%

Draw
33.1%

MC Alger
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khenchela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

MC Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khenchela than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khenchela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MC Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	50%	43.7%

Khenchela - MC Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Khenchela will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). MC Alger will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. MC Alger (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Litim O. (C) 11. Bakir M. 26. Boumechra R. 7. Chekal Affari H. 27. Djaouchi H. 19. Dris A. 13. Ezzemani M. 23. Matouti E. 12. Meddour Z. 5. Souyad B. 6. Zenasni A.	1. Ramdane A. (G) 5. Abdellaoui A. 10. Bangoura M. 28. Benhaoua O. 6. Benkhemassa M. 25. Bouguerra A. 8. Ferhat Z. 19. Ghezala A. 20. Halaimia M. 24. Naidji Z. 21. Tabti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Bayazid S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khenchela won 0.

In recent matches, Khenchela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

MC Alger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Khenchela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, MC Alger has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Khenchela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Khenchela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Khenchela
Algerian Ligue 1
21.10.25	Kabylie - Khenchela	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Khenchela - Oran	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Olympique Akbou - Khenchela	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Khenchela - Ben Aknoun	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	USM Alger - Khenchela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTTT
- MC Alger
CAF Champions League
26.10.25	MC Alger - Colombe Lobo	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
22.10.25	MC Alger - Paradou	2:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
19.10.25	Colombe Lobo - MC Alger	1:1 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
04.10.25	MC Alger - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
27.09.25	MC Alger - Fassell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
15.03.25	MC Alger - Khenchela	2:2
18.10.24	Khenchela - MC Alger	0:1
11.05.24	Khenchela - MC Alger	1:1
Algerian Cup
30.03.24	Khenchela - MC Alger	1:2
Algerian Ligue 1
16.12.23	MC Alger - Khenchela	3:0
30.05.23	MC Alger - Khenchela	1:0
21.10.22	Khenchela - MC Alger	2:0

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