Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Khovd		Brera Ilch

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.9	2.9
	1.93	3.93	2.98
	1.95	4.18	2.97	Watch
	2.29	3.96	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.32)	3.99 ↑ (3.86)	2.84 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khovd
45.1%

Draw
22.8%

Brera Ilch
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

23.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

23.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khovd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khovd's performance.

Brera Ilch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brera Ilch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khovd than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khovd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brera Ilch than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Khovd - Brera Ilch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Watanabe Y. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Watanabe Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 8).

Khovd has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brera Ilch is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Khovd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Khovd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khovd FC
Mongolian Premier League
19.04.25	Hunters - Khovd	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Khovd - Ulaanbaatar	3:4 ✺
13.04.25	Falcons - Khovd	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Khovd - Deren	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Khoromkhon - Khovd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Brera Ilch FC
Mongolian Premier League
20.04.25	Brera Ilch - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Brera Ilch - Khangarid	0:4 ✺
12.04.25	Hunters - Brera Ilch	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Brera Ilch - Ulaanbaatar	1:5 ✺
29.03.25	Falcons - Brera Ilch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
12.10.24	Brera Ilch - Khovd	2:1
07.04.24	Khovd - Brera Ilch	1:3

Khovd - Brera Ilch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide