Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mongolia	16:00	MNB Sports


	Khovd Western		Amtat

	1	X	2
	1.94	4.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)	4.8 (4.8)	2.6 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khovd Western
46.5%

Draw
18.8%

Amtat
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

19%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

18.1%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khovd Western has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khovd Western's performance.

Amtat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amtat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khovd Western than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khovd Western that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amtat than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amtat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khovd Western - Amtat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 7th in the Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 8th in the Premier League (Losers stage: )).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Amtat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Khovd Western has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Amtat	10	4	0	6	19:40	-21	12
8	Khovd Western	9	2	0	7	17:40	-23	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khovd Western FC
Mongolian Premier League
19.10.26	Amtat - Khovd Western	2:3 ✺
14.10.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khovd Western	8:0 ✺
10.10.26	Khovd Western - Hunters	2:6 ✺
04.10.26	Central Stallions - Khovd Western	8:4 ✺
01.10.26	Khovd Western - Deren	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLL
- Amtat FC
Mongolian Premier League
19.10.26	Amtat - Khovd Western	2:3 ✺
15.10.26	Amtat - Ulaangom City	4:2 ✺
05.10.26	Hunters - Amtat	6:1 ✺
27.09.26	Deren - Amtat	5:2 ✺
20.09.26	Amtat - Ulaanbaatar	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
19.10.26	Amtat - Khovd Western	2:3

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