Match Info

KENYA: Super League - Round 31

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Kibera Black Stars		Kajiado

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.72	4.83
	1.5	4.31	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	4.02 ↑ (3.53)	5.16 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kibera Black Stars
60.2%

Draw
22.4%

Kajiado
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kibera Black Stars's performance.

Kajiado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kajiado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kibera Black Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kajiado than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17).

Recent matches Kibera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kajiado has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kibera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kibera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kibera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
04.05.24	Mulembe United - Kibera Black Stars	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Kibera Black Stars - Darajani Gogo	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Naivas - Kibera Black Stars	2:3 ✺
14.04.24	Kibera Black Stars - Assad	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Kibera Black Stars - Dimba Patriots	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTWWL
- Kajiado FC
Kenyan Super League
05.05.24	Kajiado - Mombasa Elite	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Nairobi United - Kajiado	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Mara Sugar - Kajiado	6:0 ✺
31.03.24	MCF - Kajiado	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Kajiado - Darajani Gogo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
10.12.23	Kajiado - Kibera Black Stars	1:1

Kibera Black Stars - Kajiado: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide