Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Kickers Emden		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.95	2.18
	3.97	4.12	1.72
	3.81	4.19	1.71
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	2.74	3.72	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.68)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)	1.93 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kickers Emden
28.1%

Draw
23.8%

Oldenburg
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.9%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

22.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kickers Emden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kickers Emden's form might have worsened.

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Emden than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Kickers Emden - Oldenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Schiller D. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Eickhoff M. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Steffen T. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Brand R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 3 - 2, Brand R. ⚽,
90+10', 4 - 2, Kaissis S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2).

In recent matches, Emden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oldenburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Emden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Oldenburg has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Emden won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Emden won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	VfB Oldenburg	11	7	1	3	33:17	16	22
7	Emden	12	5	3	4	32:32	0	18

Last Results with these Odds

Oldenburg - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.8%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kickers Emden
German Regionalliga North
19.04.26	Hamburger II - Kickers Emden	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Kickers Emden - Werder Bremen II	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Kickers Emden	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Bremer SV - Kickers Emden	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLL
- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
22.04.26	Schöningen - Oldenburg	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Altona - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
10.04.26	Drochtersen Assel - Oldenburg	1:3 ✺
20.03.26	Hannover II - Oldenburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
11.10.25	Oldenburg - Kickers Emden	2:1
29.11.24	Kickers Emden - Oldenburg	1:1
16.08.24	Oldenburg - Kickers Emden	0:3

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