Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORTH - ROUND 16

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday


	Kilia Kiel		Drochtersen Assel

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.44
	5	4.75	1.5
	5.34	4.84	1.49
	5.55	4.91	1.47
	4.8	4.5	1.44
	5.3	4.65	1.48
	5	4.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (3.88)	4.68 ↑ (4.05)	1.47 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilia Kiel
17.8%

Draw
19.7%

Drochtersen Assel
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

22.9%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

21.7%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilia Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kilia Kiel's form might have worsened.

Drochtersen Assel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drochtersen Assel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilia Kiel than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilia Kiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drochtersen Assel than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Drochtersen Assel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kilia Kiel - Drochtersen Assel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Kilia Kiel has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Drochtersen Assel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Drochtersen Assel is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kilia Kiel
German Regionalliga North
05.11.23	Teutonia Ottensen - Kilia Kiel	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Kilia Kiel - Eintracht Norderstedt	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Hamburger II - Kilia Kiel	4:2 ✺
13.10.23	Kilia Kiel - SC Weiche-08	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Meppen - Kilia Kiel	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SV Drochtersen Assel
German Regionalliga North
05.11.23	Drochtersen Assel - Phönix Lübeck	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Drochtersen Assel	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Drochtersen Assel - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Drochtersen Assel - Jeddeloh	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Hannover II - Drochtersen Assel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTL

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