Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Kiruna		Friska Viljor

	1	X	2
	2.66	3.57	2.23
	2.83	3.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.29)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.19 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiruna
33.1%

Draw
25.3%

Friska Viljor
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

24.6%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiruna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiruna's performance.

Friska Viljor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Friska Viljor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiruna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Friska Viljor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Friska Viljor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kiruna - Friska Viljor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 4)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Friska Viljor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Friska Viljor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kiruna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiruna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Kiruna - Boden City	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Kiruna - Boden	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Täfteå - Kiruna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLL
- Friska Viljor FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.09.25	Friska Viljor - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Boden City - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Boden - Friska Viljor	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Friska Viljor - Bergnäsets	5:2 ✺
09.08.25	Friska Viljor - Täfteå	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
14.10.23	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	0:2
17.06.23	Friska Viljor - Kiruna	2:0
30.07.22	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	1:3
02.04.22	Friska Viljor - Kiruna	2:0

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