Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 14

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday


	Kiruna		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.5
	5	4.2	1.53
	4.73	4.43	1.54
	4.64	4.05	1.58
	5	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (3.67)	4.22 ↑ (4.2)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiruna
18.9%

Draw
21.7%

IFK Östersunds
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

21.6%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

21.5%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiruna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiruna's form might have worsened.

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Östersunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiruna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Östersunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kiruna - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Werme E. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Talsi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 3, Talsi S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norrland (Relegation) and 7).

Kiruna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

IFK Östersunds in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

IFK Östersunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently IFK Östersunds have a series of home games.

In this match IFK Östersunds is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiruna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiruna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	4:0 ✺
15.06.24	Kiruna - Ytterhogdal	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Lucksta - Kiruna	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Kiruna - Gottne	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Luleå - Kiruna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTL
- IFK Östersunds
Svenska Cupen
26.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Hudiksvall	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	4:0 ✺
12.06.24	Frösö - IFK Östersunds	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Täfteå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	4:0
26.08.23	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	0:1
30.04.23	Kiruna - IFK Östersunds	1:3
13.08.22	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	1:0
23.04.22	Kiruna - IFK Östersunds	2:1

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