Match Info

NB I. - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Varkert Stadium (Kisvarda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Kisvárda		Diósgyőri

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5.5
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.6	4	5.72
	1.51	4.44	5.6
	1.44	4	5
	1.54	3.78	5.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.06)	4.05 ↑ (3.33)	5.4 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisvárda
60.3%

Draw
22.7%

Diósgyőri
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

23.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.

Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diósgyőri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kisvárda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diósgyőri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kisvárda - Diósgyőri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kisvárda will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Popovich I. (G) 24. Cipetic B. 26. Radmanovac N. 3. Jovicic A. (C) 50. Olah B. 11. Matanovic M. 70. Szor L. 14. Melnyk B. 6. Popoola R. 10. Soltesz D. 86. Novothny S.	1. Banhegyi B. (G) 85. Szakos B. 3. Szatmari C. 93. Tamas M. 6. Bardos B. 70. Demeter M. 69. Kovalenko N. 25. Holdampf G. (C) 23. Peto M. 19. Keita A. 11. Colley L.
Substitutes
90. Balogun T. A. 29. Biro B. 5. Chlumecky M. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 42. Lippai T. 80. Mbock H. 27. Mesanovic J. 16. Molnar G. 55. Nagy K. 8. Soltesz I. 7. Szabo S. 96. Szikszai H.	81. Attila Varga H. (G) 74. Babos B. 20. Benyei A. 22. Bokros S. 44. Esiti A. 21. Galantai T. 82. Kiss B. 17. Macso M. 31. Megyeri G. (G) 9. Sajban M. 50. Vallejo A. 68. Varga Zeteny I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Keita A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Matanovic M. ⚽, Melnyk B. (A),
37', Jovicic A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Peto M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Demeter M. ↓, Kiss B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Soltesz D. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Colley L. ⚽,
66', Cipetic B. ↓, Biro B. ↑,
66', Novothny S. ↓, Balogun T. A. ↑,
66', Jovicic A. ↓, Chlumecky M. ↑,
72', Keita A. ↓, Esiti A. ↑,
73', Esiti A. 🟨,
73', Szor L. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
82', Holdampf G. ↓, Galantai T. ↑,
82', Peto M. ↓, Macso M. ↑,
82', Kovalenko N. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
90', Molnar G. 🟨,
90', Molnar G. 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Diósgyőri is Relegated to NB II.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 1.

Recent form of Kisvárda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Diósgyőri is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kisvárda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kisvárda is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kisvarda	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
18.04.26	MTK Budapest - Kisvárda	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Kisvárda - Debreceni	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Kisvárda	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kisvárda - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ujpest - Kisvárda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTL
- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB I
18.04.26	Diósgyőri - Debreceni	0:5 ✺
10.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Diósgyőri - Puskás Academy	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Diósgyőri - Kazincbarcikai	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
01.02.26	Diósgyőri - Kisvárda	1:1
05.10.25	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	1:0
06.04.24	Diósgyőri - Kisvárda	1:1
10.12.23	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	1:2
26.08.23	Diósgyőri - Kisvárda	2:0
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	2:3
03.07.21	Diósgyőri - Kisvárda	3:2

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