Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Varkert Stadium (Kisvarda)


	Kisvárda		Békéscsaba 1912

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.31	4.9	7.6
	1.32	4.8	6.6
	1.4	4.8	6.91	Watch
	1.34	4.7	7.15
	1.31	4.9	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.81 ↑ (4.43)	7.02 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisvárda
68.1%

Draw
18.9%

Békéscsaba 1912
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

20.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.

Békéscsaba 1912 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Békéscsaba 1912 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Kisvárda - Békéscsaba 1912 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacs M. (G) 29. Biro B. 5. Chlumecky M. 24. Cipetic B. 3. Jovicic A. 18. Kormendi K. 27. Mesanovic J. 66. Osztrovka M. 97. Spasic M. 23. Szeles I. A. 70. Szor L.	26. Uram J. (G) 25. Albert I. 37. Czekus A. 21. Fazekas L. 42. Gyenti K. 16. Hodonicki M. 17. Hursan G. 27. Korodi N. 3. Kovacs G. 77. Kovari R. 5. Szabo B.
Substitutes
7. Camaj D. 77. Kovacs K. 42. Lippai T. 11. Matanovic M. 16. Molnar G. 55. Ponomarenko N. 30. Popovich I. (G) 10. Soltesz D. 8. Soltesz I.	14. Hulicsar M. 2. Komaromi C. 22. Kuzma H. 90. Poser D. (G) 18. Pusztai A. 70. Sarmany K. 23. Viczian A. 10. Volent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Szeles I. A. 🟨,
36', Czekus A. 🟨,
43', Szabo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Spasic M. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
54', Kovacs M. 🟨,
66', Kormendi K. ↓, Soltesz D. ↑,
66', Cipetic B. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
67', Czekus A. ↓, Sarmany K. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Molnar G. ⚽,
72', Gyenti K. ↓, Komaromi C. ↑,
81', Pusztai A. ↓, Viczian A. ↑,
82', Kovari R. ↓, Volent R. ↑,
90+2', Mesanovic J. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 14).

Kisvárda in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Békéscsaba 1912 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kisvárda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kisvárda is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kisvárda to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kisvárda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kisvárda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian Cup
30.10.24	Balatonalmádi - Kisvárda	0:4 ✺
Hungarian NB II
27.10.24	Szentlőrinc - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Kisvárda - Gyirmót	6:4 ✺
06.10.24	BVSC-Zugló - Kisvárda	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Kisvárda - Csákvári	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Békéscsaba 1912
Hungarian NB II
27.10.24	Békéscsaba 1912 - Budapest Honved	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Szeged 2011 - Békéscsaba 1912	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Kazincbarcikai - Békéscsaba 1912	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Békéscsaba 1912 - Szentlőrinc	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Gyirmót - Békéscsaba 1912	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
28.03.18	Békéscsaba 1912 - Kisvárda	1:1
10.09.17	Kisvárda - Békéscsaba 1912	3:2
28.08.16	Kisvárda - Békéscsaba 1912	0:2
Hungarian Cup
14.10.15	Kisvárda - Békéscsaba 1912	1:2

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