Match Info

SERBIA: SUPER LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 13 March 2023, Monday

Location: SRC Kolubara (Lazarevac)

Referee: Ostracanin S. (Srb)


	Kolubara		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.3	1.77
	3.95	3.25	1.79
	4.34	3.38	1.81
	4.2	3.2	1.78
	4.3	3.52	1.79
	4.1	3.35	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.25)	3.33 ↑ (2.98)	1.8 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolubara
22%

Draw
27.3%

Bačka Topola
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

30.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolubara's form might have worsened.

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bačka Topola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolubara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bačka Topola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Kolubara - Bačka Topola Predictions

Users Predictions: Bačka Topola will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group)).

Bačka Topola is Qualified for Super Liga (Championship Group)

Recent matches Kolubara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bačka Topola is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bačka Topola will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kolubara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kolubara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kolubara
Serbian Superliga
08.03.23	Partizan - Kolubara	1:1 ✺
02.03.23	Kolubara - Javor Ivanjica	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Čukarički - Kolubara	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Kolubara - Rad	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
17.02.23	Kolubara - Voždovac	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWLLW
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
07.03.23	Bačka Topola - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
02.03.23	Radnički 1923 - Bačka Topola	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Mladost Novi Sad - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
10.09.22	Bačka Topola - Kolubara	3:1
Serbian Cup
01.12.21	Bačka Topola - Kolubara	2:1
Serbian Superliga
28.11.21	Kolubara - Bačka Topola	2:1
02.08.21	Bačka Topola - Kolubara	4:0

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