The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Koléa 32.2%
Draw 33.8%
GC Mascara 34%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
30%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
30.1%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koléa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
GC Mascara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koléa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GC Mascara than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Koléa - GC Mascara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 2, ⚽,
65', 2 - 3, ⚽,
66', 🟥,
73', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion - Ligue 2 Promotion - Playoffs).
Koléa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
GC Mascara is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, GC Mascara has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Koléa has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Koléa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Koléa - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.